Picks Summary
- Jason Day to Win Outright (+4000) at Bet365
- Jason Day to Finish in Top 10 (+280) at Bet365
- Sam Burns to Win Outright (+4000) at Bet365
- Sam Burns to Finish in Top 20 (+125) at Bet365
- Matthew Fitzpatrick to Win Outright (+3300) at Bet365
- Matthew Fitzpatrick to Finish in Top 10 (+250) at Unibet
- Tommy Fleetwood to Win Outright (+3300) at Unibet
- Tommy Fleetwood to Finish in Top 10 (+250) at Bet365
2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
August 10 – August 13, 2023 at TPC Southwind
Will Jason Have His Day?
Yes, I like the chances of Jason Day this week in Memphis. Let’s investigate the case for the Australian to win a second PGA Tour title of the season here in Memphis.
Firstly, in 2020 the former major champion and world number 1, competed prominently here having unusually added the event to his schedule post Covid-19 hiatus. Secondly, Day looked back in good nick at the Open Championship on his last start for the first time since his win at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
At 11th on the FedEx rankings, Day has no worries for further weeks and can concentrate on building on his Open Championship runner-up placing.
Let’s take Day to win outright and finish in the top 10 at one of the top sportsbooks.
Golf Pick: Jason Day to Win Outright (+4000) at Bet365
Golf Pick: Jason Day to Finish in Top 10 (+280) at Bet365
About the TPC Southwind
Here at OddsTrader, we get a smaller high-quality field to analyze this week as the top 70 in the FedEx standings move on to the St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Tennessee.
Course form at the track in Memphis often carries weight where water hazards occupy over 50% of the holes. Precision iron play into the smaller-than-average Bermuda greens on the par70 course is an advantage combined with a familiarity with the surfaces themselves.
FedEx Cup Permutations
This week at TPC Southwind the top 70 on the PGA Tour battle to guarantee a place in next week’s BMW Championship that requires a top 50 ranking. Qualification brings the further opportunity of qualifying for the top 30 and the big-bucks Tour Championship, the week following.
Can Sam Burn It Up in Memphis?
At OddTraders, we believe Sam Burns could easily set light to TPC Southwind this week.
Sam Burns re-emerged back on my radar for this week after an improved showing at last week’s Wyndham Championship.
The twenty-seven-year-old from Louisiana has rather lacked luster in his 2022/2023 campaign compared to recent years but still managed a win at the Dell Technologies Matchplay and four other top-7s spread evenly across the year.
Burns will think he has unfinished business here at TPC Southwind where he was a runner-up in 2021.
Sam Burns could get quick redemption this week for that near miss, so at OddsTrader, we suggest you take the (+4000) at Bet365 about him winning combined with a top-20 finish at (+125).
Golf Pick: Sam Burns to Win Outright (+4000) at Bet365
Golf Pick: Sam Burns to Finish in Top 20 (+125) at Bet365
Maybe Alex’s Win Will Motivate Sibling, Matthew?
It will not have escaped ardent golf fans’ attention that in recent weeks Alex Fitzpatrick is outplaying his more illustrious and older brother, Matthew.
It’s been something of a lack-lustre stop-start year for the 2022 US Open champion, Matthew Fitzpatrick who has been struggling with a shoulder injury at times. At the Open Championship, his younger brother finished in the top 20 to Matthew’s 41st and that good form continued into last week when Alex won the British Challenge on the European Tour’s feeder tour, the Challenge Tour.
The twenty-eight-year-old from Sheffield, England did manage to win the Heritage Classic, an event that correlates well with TPC Southwind over the years.
Fitzpatrick has three top-6 finishes in four years in Memphis to illustrate a strong growing affinity with the track.
This week Matthew Fitzpatrick could easily be extra motivated by his sibling’s recent success and want to gain back the family bragging rights! At the price of (+3300) with Unibet, I like taking him for a win and top 10 finish this week.
Golf Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick to Win Outright (+3300) at Bet365
Golf Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick to Finish in Top 10 (+250) at Unibet
If Not Fitz Maybe Fleet?
I noticed that Tommy Fleetwood sneaked in a visit to coach Butch Harmon over the last few days.
The esteemed coach has been responsible for Fleetwood’s resurgent year and could be what the doctor ordered as a pick-me-up after the crushing disappointment at the Open Championship near his hometown.
Despite Lee Westwood in 2010 being the only European to feature in the winner’s circle at TPC Southwind, there have been many eye-catching performances over the years in Memphis. None more so than Tom Lewis being runner-up in 2020 and Greg Owen occupying the same spot in 2015.
Tommy Fleetwood himself was 4th in 2019 on debut and represents a sound investment in the place markets this week and a more speculative runner in the outright.
Golf Pick: Tommy Fleetwood to Win Outright (+3300) at Unibet
Golf Pick: Tommy Fleetwood to Finish in Top 10 (+250) at Bet365
