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MLB Computer Picks for August 7: Brewers Favored to Overpower Rockies

Carlos Santana Milwaukee Brewers Willy Adames Pittsburgh Pirates
Carlos Santana 41 of the Milwaukee Brewers celebrates with Willy Adames 27 after hitting a solo home run against the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 04 2023 Patrick McDermottGetty ImagesAFP

The computers at OddsTrader have three more best bets for the MLB slate. It’s been on fire recently and should continue its momentum into tonight’s slate.

Picks Summary


Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Monday, August 07, 2023 – 08:10 PM EDT at American Family Field


Our AI Model believes that the Brewers will earn a 5.8-3.1 win over the Rockies in tonight’s showdown. The Brewers are listed at -250, but the -1.5 looks appealing.

The Brewers will pitch Freddy Peralta tonight. Peralta has earned over 34% of strikeouts over the last month. He’s also held teams to a .122 ISO and wOBA of .271 over the last month. Peralta is still going deep into games, earning over 93 pitches per start in the last month. He’s also walked under 8% of batters and has earned over 46% of grounders.

He’ll face a Rockies lineup that has struck out nearly 29% of the time against righties in the last month. This same lineup has only hit a .138 ISO and wOBA of .292. Plus, the numbers only get worse when away from Coors Field.

Meanwhile, Peter Lambert will pitch for the Rockies. He’s added 78 pitches per start in the last month. Lambert has been solid enough, but he’s walked nearly 15% of lefties and has earned only 11.7% of strikeouts. He’s also allowing 30% of line drives to lefties and hasn’t fooled many batters, earning 17% of whiffs and 8.1% of swinging strikes in the last month.

The Brewers have only struck out 19% of the time against righties in the last month and should be able to put the ball in play at a high rate. That should help Milwaukee put runs on the board for Peralta.

Take the Brewers at -1.5 on the MLB odds board. I agree with the AI model.

MLB Pick: Brewers -1.5 (-118) at Caesars Sportsbook


San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angels

Monday, August 07, 2023 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium


Our AI Model believes the Angels should be the favorites, despite being underdogs, against the Giants at home. The AI Model has the Angels earning a 4.5-3.7 win over the Giants tonight.

Logan Webb will get the start for the Giants. He’s only thrown about 87 pitches per start and has struck out only 21.8% of lefties over the last month.

Webb is getting high-ground balls and limiting walks, but he’s not getting many swings and misses or whiffs. He’ll have to face an Angels lineup that has hit a .220 ISO and wOBA of .361 against righties in the last 30 days. The Angels typically strike out high, but Webb hasn’t had the highest strikeout rate in the last month.

Meanwhile, the Angels will pitch Patrick Sandoval. He’s a lefty, allowing a .105 ISO and wOBA of .262 against his last 67 batters. Sandoval also hasn’t earned a high strikeout rate, but he’s facing a Giants lineup that has hit a .074 ISO and wOBA of .209 against lefties over the last month.

The Giants have just two batters hitting an ISO above .148 against lefties in the last 30 days. Therefore, while Webb might be better than Sandoval overall, Sandoval’s got a much better matchup with the Angels.

I’m with the AI Model here. Take the Angels.

MLB Pick: Angels ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook


Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics

Monday, August 07, 2023 – 09:40 PM EDT at Oakland Coliseum


The AI Model suggests that the Rangers, at -225, are still a great selection. The AI Model has the Rangers winning 7.9-4.1 over the Athletics tonight.

Dane Dunning will take the mound for the Rangers. Dunning has been dominant against righties, holding them to a .107 ISO and wOBA of .213 in the last month.

The Athletics should have at least six righties in the lineup tonight. Those righties have struck out 29% of the time against righties in the last month. With Dunning pitching exceptionally well against other righties, he should be able to put together a quality outing for the Rangers tonight.

Meanwhile, Ken Waldichuk will man the mound for the Athletics. He’s a lefty who has walked 13% of batters in the last month. He’s also allowing more fly balls than ground balls induced in the last month.

With the Rangers hitting a .216 ISO and wOBA of .361 against lefties, it’s clear that the Rangers have the advantage in tonight’s game.

The AI Model found more value. Take the Rangers on the run line at one of our top online sportsbooks.

MLB Pick: Rangers -1.5 (-142) at Caesars Sportsbook


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