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Paul vs. Tyson Updated Analysis: Heavy Favorite After Fight Rules Are Confirmed

Jake Paul enters the ring against Ryan Bourland before their cruiserweight fight at Coliseo de Puerto Rico on March 02, 2024 in Hato Rey, Puerto Rico. Al Bello/Getty Images/AFP

The highly anticipated contest between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson has now been declared a sanctioned pro bout, but with a twist.

The rules attached to this declaration could potentially alter the dynamics of the fight and oddsmakers at the top betting sites updated the odds after the news broke. Let’s take a look at the latest boxing odds for this fight.

When Is the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson Fight?

  • When: Friday, November 15, 2024
  • Time: 09:00 PM ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
  • How to Watch: Netflix

Gloves On, Cameras Rolling

Most Valuable Promotions confirmed that the fight, which has been rescheduled for November 15th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, streamed live on Netflix, will put Paul, 27, and Tyson, 58, in a scheduled eight-round bout, with two-minute rounds and 14-ounce gloves.

While the Texan Commission is indeed overseeing the bout and a winner will be announced, the rules that will be applied, as mentioned earlier, may not align with those of a legitimate professional fight.

Clearing the Smoke

The previous confusion and conflicting statements from each camp about whether or not the fight would be sanctioned have finally been settled, adding a layer of tension and anticipation to the upcoming bout.

“Mike Tyson and Jake Paul signed on to fight each other with the desire to do so in a sanctioned professional fight that would have a definitive outcome,” the co-found of and Paul’s business partner of MVP, Nakisa Bidarian, said in a statement.

“Over the past six weeks, MVP has worked with its partners to satisfy the requirements of the TDLR (Texas Department of Licensing and Regulations) to sanction Paul vs. Tyson, and we are grateful that we have gotten to this point,” she concluded.

Odds for the Paul vs. Tyson Fight

Sportsbook Jake Paul Mike Tyson Implied Win Probability
Bet365 -245 +195 71.01% / 33.90%
BetWay -175 +137 63.64% / 42.19%
Caesars Sportsbook -210 +175 67.74% / 36.36%
FanDuel -310 +240 75.61% / 29.41%
DraftKings -180 +135 64.28% / 35.71%
BetMGM -185 +130 64.91% / 43.48%
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Betting on the Future

In light of this boxing news, a reaction from top-rated sportsbooks was expected, and bettors have received one.

Despite the rule changes and the official sanctioning of the fight, the odds delivered by OddsTrader still favor Jake Paul to triumph over the heavyweight legend Mike Tyson.

At the moment, FanDuel offers one of the best available prices on Paul at -310, with the comeback on Iron Mike at an underdog price of +240. If you want the best price on Tyson, Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review) has him priced at +195.

Jake Paul Mike Tyson

Since the fight was announced, alarm bells have been ringing regarding Tyson’s health. The former heavyweight champ hasn’t fought since clashing with Roy Jones Jr. in 2020. However, this bout was an exhibition, as Tyson hadn’t competed in a legitimate professional contest since 2005 when Kevin McBride finished him inside seven rounds.

The concern around Tyson’s ability is a real one, and while many boxing purists would love to believe his past downfall wasn’t real, it was, and his career finished with back-to-back knockout losses against two unknown names. Now, 19 years later, many believe he can overcome a twenty-something Paul who’s already flatlined the likes of Tyron Woodley.

Never say never; perhaps the current ruleset will assist Tyson somehow. Still, almost every alternative variable leading up to this contest favors Paul, a youngster with minimal experience but the power to shut anyone’s lights out.

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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