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Top NHL Computer Pick for Today’s Slate: Dallas Stars Look to End 0-5 Winless Home Streak

Jamie Benn 14 of the Dallas Stars scores a goal against Quinn Hughes 43 of the Vancouver Canucks and Thatcher Demko 35 of the Vancouver Canucks Tom PenningtonGetty ImagesAFP

NHL Pick: Coyotes vs. Stars Under 6 (-120) at Bet365

Using our OddsTrader’s computer picks, we were able to place tonight’s bets based on the information generated. 

The Dallas Stars are hoping to put an end to their 1-6 streak against division rivals Arizona who they beat 4-0 when these teams last faced off over one month ago. In fact, that was the Stars’ last win prior to their current 3-7 run.  


Arizona Coyotes vs. Dallas Stars

Wednesday, March 1, 2023 – 08:30 PM EST at American Airlines Center


Arizona Hopeless on the Road 

The Arizona Coyotes might have gone 6-4 over their previous 10 NHL games but they have been horrendous on the road this season and have now gone 1-19 in their previous 20 games as well as having only gone 1-9 in their previous 10 games on the road against the Dallas Stars. 

Overall this season the Coyotes have been very poor offensively, ranking just 28th in terms of goals per game as well as having taken the least amount of shots in the entire NHL. The Coyotes have also allowed the third-most amount of shots per game.  

The Coyotes are on the second of a back-to-back while opponents Stars have had one night’s rest prior to this game.  

Stars Can Go Top of Conference  

Somewhat of an anomaly, the Dallas Stars can go top of the Western Conference with a win tonight, despite having lost six of their last seven games. The Stars also top the Central division with 75 points, although there are now just three points separating the Stars in first and the Winnipeg Jets in fourth.  

Dallas will look to get their offense going as they have scored less than three goals in 7 of their previous 10 NHL games. Their main threat in front of the net has been Jason Robertson who has scored 73 points thus far this season (tenth-highest in the NHL). The Stars might be high up the table standings but they will fall quickly if they can’t generate offense going forward.  

The defense hasn’t been much of an issue for this Stars team who have only allowed 2.60 goals per game, which is ranked as the third-best in the NHL, and have the fourth-best ranked penalty kill which has hit 83% of the time.  

Stats and Trends  

Arizona Coyotes 

  • Arizona is 3-15 in their last 18 games against Dallas 
  • The total has gone over in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games against an opponent in the Western Conference  
  • Arizona is 1-19 in their last 20 games on the road 

Dallas Stars 

  • The total has gone under in 12 of Dallas’ last 14 games 
  • Dallas is 15-1 in their last 16 games when playing at home against Arizona 
  • The total has gone under in 5 of Dallas’ last 6 games against an opponent in the Central Division  

The Pick  

Although the temptation to bet on the Dallas Stars to have a breakout game is very high here, the odds are not as Dallas is as low as -220 on the moneyline and -140 to cover the -1.5 PK line.  

Although our computer predicts a 3-1 Stars victory and them to cover the spread, for us these are stay-away markets in this game as we are not prepared to lay that kind of juice on a team who have gone 1-6 in their last seven games.  

The better pick here is to take the under 6 goals at -110, if the game ends on exactly six goals we will receive a push. Our computer predicts just four goals to be scored in this NHL matchup. Dallas is 35-19 to the under 6.5 goal line while the Coyotes are 35-25 on the same line.  

Score Prediction: Coyotes 1 – Stars 3  

NHL Pick: Under 6 (-120) at Bet365


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