As we settle in for the stretch run, we have three top-quality games we will focus on for tonight’s NBA player props:
- Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
- New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
- Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons
Picks Summary
- Trae Young Over 23.5 Points (-121)
- Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds (-115)
- Damian Lillard Double Double Yes (+250)
Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
Monday, March 06, 2023 – 07:30 PM EST at Miami-Dade Arena
Trae Young (Atlanta Hawks)
The Atlanta Hawks will play the Miami Heat in Miami tonight. It will be the second time in the last 3 days that the teams face off. The two teams played on Saturday night and Miami beat Atlanta 117-109. Now the Atlanta Hawks get a chance for revenge.
The Hawks have scored more than 100 points in 39 consecutive games and they will look to make that 40 straight games tonight against one of the best defenses in the NBA. Trae Young will look to bounce back after only scoring eight points on 2-13 shooting.
The Pick
I expect Trae Young to bounce back tonight after such a poor performance. Young averages 26.7 game points per game this season and before his disappointing output on Saturday, Young had gone over this total in three of his last four games.
With new coach Quin Snyder running the show, Trae Young has had excellent output. Young will bounce back after Saturday’s disappointing performance. We are getting a great “Buy Low” opportunity here. Take the Trae Young points prop Over.
NBA Prop Pick: Trae Young Over 23.5 Points (-121) at BetRivers
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
Monday, March 06, 2023 – 10:00 PM EST at Golden 1 Center
Domantas Sabonis (Sacramento Kings)
The Sacramento Kings had their five-game winning streak ended on Saturday night when they fell 138-134 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Kings have not lost two games in a row since the last time they played the Pelicans. On February 5th, the Kings fell 136-104 in New Orleans.
The Pelicans are not playing well right now, however, and they’ve lost five of their last six games. The Pelicans lost 108-99 to the Golden State Warriors on Friday night, so they will be looking to bounce back against a Western Conference rival.
The Pick
Domantas Sabonis is the NBA’s leading rebounder. He averages 12.4 rebounds per game and has gone over this rebounding prop in three of his last five games, including a 14-rebound outing on Saturday night against the Timberwolves.
Domantas Sabonis will be the focal point of the Kings tonight and I expect him to once again control the glass. His ability to grab rebounds has been excellent for the Sacramento Kings team that loves to get out in transition.
Sabonis will continue his excellent play tonight and go over his rebounding prop total.
NBA Prop Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds (-115) at BetRivers
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Detroit Pistons
Monday, March 06, 2023 – 07:00 PM EST at Little Caesars Arena
Damian Lillard (Portland Trail Blazers)
The Detroit Pistons have lost seven games in a row. They are once again underdogs at the NBA odds board as they host the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. On Saturday night, the Pistons lost 114-90 to the Cleveland Cavaliers. They will be looking to turn things around.
The Portland Trail Blazers played last night and defeated the Orlando Magic 122-119. Although this is a back-to-back, the Trail Blazers need to win as many games as possible to stay alive in the Western Conference playoff race.
The Pick
Damian Lillard scored 41 points against the Magic yesterday. He is averaging an outstanding 42.2 points per game over his last five games. I also expect Damian Lillard to have a big night getting his teammates involved. Lillard will be racking up assists against this Detroit defense that is young and struggles to defend.
We are getting nice odds here for Damian Lillard to have plenty of assists. He also had the chance to go over on the rebounding total. He had nine rebounds against the Magic and scored eight rebounds against the Pelicans. Therefore, we have two ways to get this Double-Double, not just through the assists.
NBA Prop Pick: Damian Lillard Double Double Yes (+250) at Unibet